Last updated Mar 11, 10:40am ET

We have some interesting UFC Vegas 104 picks for you, including some with plus-money odds.

Our prediction is that betting upsets will happen in the main event (Marvin Vettori vs. Roman Dolidze 2), co-main event (Elizeo Zaleski dos Santos vs. Chidi Njoukani), and a few other fights scheduled for Saturday, March 15 at UFC Apex.

You can trust our judgment when it comes to longshots. Last weekend, all of our underdog picks won – Justin Gaethje (+135), Amanda Lemos (+120), etc. We’re 100% confident we’ll do great this time around as well.

Marvin Vettori vs. Roman Dolidze 2 – Time for Payback

fighterodds
Marvin Vettori-140
Roman Dolidze+120

Dolidze (14-3) has never been finished in his entire pro career, which started back in 2016. He boasts wins over fantastic such strikers as Kevin Holland, Phil Haes, and Jack Hermansson.

While primarily known for his striking, he’s also a hell of a wrestler. In fact, according to Merab Dvalishvili, Dolidze even submitted Khamzat Chimaev in training.

That’s a really impressive feat considering Chimaev is thought by many to be the best wrestler in the UFC today.

Given his previous loss to Vettori, he may adjust his approach – and switch to wrestling rather than striking.  

Our prediction is that he’ll do exactly that. And it will work out for him.

Pick
Roman Dolidze
New Player Bonus
50% up to $1000

Chidi Njoukani to Out-Strike Elizeo Zaleski dos Santos

fighterodds
Elizeo Zaleski dos Santos-180
Chidi Njoukani+155

Njokuani is a dynamic striker with a Muay Thai background, known for his knockout power. He has a significant reach advantage (80 inches vs. 73 inches), which allows him to control range and land clean shots from a distance.

Dos Santos is a capable striker, but he just doesn’t have the gas tank for a 3-round striking war with Njoukani.

He may try to utilize his wrestling skills, but Njokuani has a solid 76% takedown defense and should be able to keep the fight standing.

Pick
Chidi Njoukani
New Player Bonus
50% up to $1000

UFC Vegas 104 Picks for Remaining Fights

  • Choi Seung-woo vs. Kevin Vallejos – Kevin Vallejos
  • Alexander Hernandez vs. Kurt Holobaugh – Alexander Hernandez
  • Da’Mon Blackshear vs. Cody Gibson – Da’Mon Blackshear
  • You Su-young vs. AJ Cunningham – You Su-young
  • Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Ryan Spann – Ryan Spann
  • Stephanie Luciano vs. Sam Hughes – Stephanie Luciano  
  • Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Brendson Ribeiro – Brendson Ribeiro
  • Carlos Vera vs. Josias Musasa – Josias Musasa
  • Daniel Barez vs. André Lima – André Lima
  • Josiane Nunes vs. Priscila Cachoeira – Priscila Cachoeira

These are our UFC Vegas 104 picks for all the remaining fights. While we do think favorites will win in most fights, we can see some betting upsets. In addition to the main and co-main event, we also smell surprises in three other fights.

We think Ryan Spann might win on his heavyweight debut. We also predict Brendson Ribeiro a.k.a. The Gorilla might derail the Diyar Nurgozhay hype train.

Another interesting UFC Vegas 104 pick we have for you is Priscila Cachoeira. Zombie Girl lost her last two fights by submission, but now she’s fighting Josiane Nunes who’s all about striking. We think Priscila can do well against her.

Heidi Thomas
Heidi Thomas

Sports Writer

Heidi has shifted from general journalism to become a specialized sports writer in MMA. Writing for OffshoreSportsbooks.com, she offers detailed fight analyses and previews, focusing on niche betting markets.

mail