Serie A: Napoli vs. Lecce Prediction — Gil Azzurri to Cover the Spread to Go Five Points Clear at Summit (Oct 26)

Antonio Conte has made an impressive start to life at Napoli, and the 2022-23 champions could move five points clear at the Serie A summit with a home win on Saturday.

Napoli have won six of their eight matches this term, and they have kept clean sheets in two of their last three. Another professional display was the order of the day last Sunday when claiming a 1-0 win at Empoli.

Gli Azzurri will be heavily preferred in the betting this weekend against a Lecce side that have failed to score in their last three.

Not only that, but the visitors have conceded ten goals across the same period, including six in a home loss against Fiorentina last Sunday.

Odds

A home win looks hard to bet against this weekend, and Napoli’s dominant is evident based on their odds. An away victory for out-of-form Lecce is easy to overlook at +995.

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Napoli Unbeaten in Four Against Lecce

Napoli will be considered a leading chance based on recent form alone. However, their historical dominance in this fixture is also a big plus in their favor.

Gli Azzurri have gone four without defeat against Lecce, keeping clean sheets in each of the previous two. However, it is worth mentioning that the visitors are unbeaten on their last three trips to Naples, winning once and playing out two draws.

🚨⚽ TIP: Over 2.75 Goals @ -106

Napoli vs. Lecce Key Stats

• Napoli’s 19 points after eight matches is their fourth-best start to a Serie A campaign.
• Conte’s side have kept clean sheets in four of their last five matches, winning matches over this sequence by an aggregate scoreline of 10-1.
• Lecce are the lowest scorers across the top five European leagues, having netted just twice in eight Serie A outings.

Napoli Team News

Napoli will be at near full strength for the visit of Lecce this weekend. Stanislav Lobotka remains out, but the midfielder could return next weekend. Goalkeeper Alex Meret is set to return following the November international break.

Possible Lineup

Elia Caprile (GK); Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Alessandro Buongiorno, Juan Jesus, Leonardo Spinazzola, Billy Gilmour, Andre Anguissa, Scott McTominay, David Neres, Romelu Lukaku, Khvicha Kvaratskelia

Lecce Team News

Antonio Gallo will be unavailable this weekend after being sent off in Lecce’s heavy home loss against Fiorentina. Catalin Burnete’s absence restricts the visitors in the final third, while Luis Hasa and Medon Berisha are set to return next weekend.

Possible Lineup

Wladimiro Falcone (GK); Frederic Guilbert, Kialonda Gasper, Federico Baschirotto, Gaby Jean, Antonio Gallo, Patrick Dorgu, Balthazar Pierret, Yiber Ramadani, Lassana Coulibaly, Ante Rebic, Nikola Krstovic

Napoli vs. Lecce Prediction

Lecce’s poor attacking record appears to be a big indicator of their struggles this season, but they are also allowing far too many goals.

That will leave them vulnerable against one of the most potent attacks in Serie A this season. The best value this weekend could be on Napoli to cover the (-1.5) spread.